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Highlights

  • Imagine a real estate marketplace company that… • Is the leading brokerage and third most visited real estate marketplace in the world’s fourth-largest real estate market. • Made 300m per quarter from an adjacent business that isn’t mortgages. KE Holdings (aka Beike) might have a pretty uninspiring name and might have been suffering some pretty big losses of late but it’s worth paying attention to for anyone working in real estate. (View Highlight)
  • Founded as Homelink in 2001 the company was initially a local brokerage in Beijing. The business had early success operating a full-service model and was renamed Lianjia in 2015. It differentiated itself from cheap, low-commission rivals and, in a market where agents rarely get exclusive mandates, offered guaranteed sales for those willing to entrust their property on an exclusive basis. (View Highlight)
  • From 2010 to 2014 the company took to the internet in a big way and then expanded nationwide from 2015 to 2018 culminating in the launch of the popular online Beike platform in 2018. KE Holdings is the name of the Cayman Islands-incorporated holding company set up in the same year and the name the company uses on the stock market. Before listing on the NYSE in 2020 and raising $2.4 billion in the process, KE Holdings had attracted investment from the likes of Tencent, SoftBank, Sequoia and Baidu among others. (View Highlight)
  • How does KE Holdings stack up to its peers? Beike is the largest specialist real estate marketplace operator in the world by revenue and the second largest by market cap, just behind U.S. giant CoStar. Ke Holdings Vs International Peers Chart (View Highlight)
  • Domestically the company’s closest competitor in terms of business model is probably FangDD which operates a similar open transaction platform. The scale of the two platforms isn’t a close-run thing though. In 2022 the Gross Transaction Volume (GTV) reported by FangDD was 378 billion reported by Beike. The only metric where Beike is playing catch-up is in traffic (although for a transaction platform and brokerage, it might not be the most relevant one). It is behind 58.com’s Anjuke and Fang.com but the gap is getting smaller every time we check Similarweb’s stats. Chinese Real Estate Portal Traffic (View Highlight)
  • What does KE Holdings do? The closest analogy we can think of is U.S. brokerage firm Redfin… only if Redfin were the leading brokerage in its market, controlled the MLS and did renovations. Beike is primarily a brokerage business and like Redfin, it is also one of the most popular real estate marketplace sites in its native country listing properties from third parties. That’s pretty much where the similarities end though. Redfin certainly doesn’t have virtual tours on around 70% (85% in big cities) of its listings and if it did, they wouldn’t be produced by its own in-house VR company. Realsee was started by Beike back in 2015 as a VR lab. Nowadays it’s a product that produces digital maps, 3d tours and panoramic images via either an app on the user’s phone or the company’s ‘Gimball’ hardware which sells for around $250. The volume of leads coming from Realsee has surpassed phone leads and perhaps more importantly, its virtual reality listings let Beike advertise home furnishings to users via virtual staging. Beike (Ke) Realsee (View Highlight)
  • Another thing that Redfin doesn’t have is complete control over its agents and any third-party agent that uses its platform to transact property. Like other real estate marketplace operators in emerging markets, Beike has invested resources in becoming the primary source of truth and trust in its market. Over the years Beike has built what it calls a ‘Housing Dictionary’ of authentic property listings and alongside that, it has built out the framework for cooperation and a standardised protocol for transacting homes in China known as the ACN or ‘Agent Cooperation Network’. The ACN is “the foundation of the Beike platform” and a fascinating tool used by the company to play on the Chinese cultural inclination to conform to rules. (View Highlight)
  • Essentially each participant on the system signs up on an exclusive basis and is assigned a score which determines the types of jobs they get assigned to (showings, key handling, etc) and the commission share they earn within any given transaction. Participants can be from any brokerage and in 2021 the company said that of the 406,000 active agents on the ACN, only about a quarter of them were from its own Lianjia brokerage firm. Agents are encouraged to maintain a high score by carrying out assigned tasks quickly and efficiently and to report any misbehaviour they see from others. (View Highlight)
  • How is KE Holdings performing? In its reporting, the company breaks down its revenue into three main segments:
    1. Existing home transaction services: Beike generates revenues from its own Lianjia brand, charging commissions for existing home sales and home rentals. It also receives a split of commissions from other brokerage firms that operate brokerage stores on the Beike platform in collaboration with Lianjia agents to complete transactions. Additionally, Beike provides value-added services such as transaction closing services, on-site verification, and agent recruiting and training services.
    2. New home transaction services: Beike earns revenues from sales commissions charged to real estate developers.
    3. Emerging and other services: Beike generates revenues from a variety of other housing-related services, such as home renovation and furnishing services. (View Highlight)
  • The first two segments were hit very hard by a softening Chinese market in 2022. Overall revenue declined 25% to 203 million. Despite the numbers, Beike Chairman and CEO Stanley Yongdong Peng told investors that his company had outperformed the market and was going from “high-speed to high-quality growth”. Beike Quarterly Revenue By Segment (View Highlight)
  • Key to that high-quality growth is the renovations business which is growing rapidly fuelled by the $1.2 billion 2021 purchase of Shengdu Home Renovation Co. The renovations business is important to Beike not only as a way to diversify revenue but also because its contribution margin is far higher (around 80%) than the new homes (currently at 20% down from 40% in 2018) and existing homes (37%) segments. Renovations are the crux of Beike’s “one body, two wings” strategy announced in 2022 and the significant resources being poured into the segment’s development reflect its growing importance. Below: former KE Holdings employee Brett Hartley Wilson tells us about the company’s ‘One Body, Two Wings’ strategy in a 2022 interview. (View Highlight)
  • - The ACN is essentially a blueprint of how to become a market’s arbiter and source of truth. • The network’s importance is referenced several times in the company’s yearly reports with a potential failure to police standards on the ACN listed as a key risk factor in KE Holdings’ prospectus. • Beike’s ACN has become the biggest transaction platform because it put the most effort into ensuring quality and de-duplication. Being strict and sticking to the framework paid off. (View Highlight)
  • - KE Holdings is one of a few companies around the world showing that being a transaction platform (rather than a shop window) is the route to total market domination. • Having started as a brokerage, Beike never had to anger agents by moving into the transaction. It was always there. • The company allows others to participate but always sets the rules and always takes a cut. • Owning the infrastructure means it doesn’t have to go after more agents (like a pure brokerage) or chase traffic (like a portal). The company said that it expects the percentage of GTV coming from its brokerage to decrease over time ” with the proliferation of our platform”. (View Highlight)
  • - KE Holdings is proving that mortgage isn’t the only adjacency out there for real estate players looking to diversify. • It might be capital and labour-intensive but in a market with fairly homogenous housing stock renovations can scale and pay off. • Property listings + VR tech + renovations business = opportunity to sell furnishings and domestic appliances. • China is a great market to achieve scale. In 2021 Matterport issued a press release saying it had surpassed 5 million ‘digital twins’ while, according to KE Holdings, Realsee already had 15 million+. (View Highlight)